Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.001502 0.001594 0.001688 0.001793 0.001907 0.002026 0.002160
2025-03-02 0.001331 0.001455 0.001589 0.001743 0.001917 0.002106 0.002330
2025-03-09 0.001217 0.001362 0.001522 0.001712 0.001932 0.002181 0.002485
2025-03-16 0.001146 0.001306 0.001487 0.001708 0.001972 0.002278 0.002664
2025-03-23 0.001079 0.001249 0.001446 0.001690 0.001988 0.002344 0.002805
2025-03-30 0.001028 0.001207 0.001417 0.001683 0.002015 0.002419 0.002956
2025-04-06 0.000975 0.001159 0.001378 0.001660 0.002018 0.002463 0.003068
2025-04-13 0.000927 0.001113 0.001338 0.001633 0.002013 0.002495 0.003162
2025-04-20 0.000870 0.001054 0.001279 0.001577 0.001967 0.002470 0.003179
2025-04-27 0.000850 0.001040 0.001275 0.001592 0.002013 0.002565 0.003360
2025-05-04 0.000839 0.001037 0.001285 0.001623 0.002082 0.002693 0.003592
2025-05-11 0.000834 0.001041 0.001304 0.001668 0.002168 0.002848 0.003870
2025-05-18 0.000804 0.001014 0.001283 0.001661 0.002190 0.002921 0.004043
2025-05-25 0.000763 0.000969 0.001238 0.001619 0.002161 0.002922 0.004112
2025-06-01 0.000729 0.000935 0.001204 0.001592 0.002149 0.002946 0.004217
2025-06-08 0.000707 0.000914 0.001189 0.001589 0.002173 0.003022 0.004404
2025-06-15 0.000682 0.000888 0.001165 0.001572 0.002175 0.003065 0.004542
2025-06-22 0.000662 0.000869 0.001149 0.001566 0.002191 0.003130 0.004717
2025-06-29 0.000638 0.000843 0.001123 0.001544 0.002184 0.003157 0.004832
2025-07-06 0.000615 0.000818 0.001096 0.001520 0.002171 0.003174 0.004927
2025-07-13 0.000585 0.000781 0.001053 0.001469 0.002114 0.003118 0.004896
2025-07-20 0.000576 0.000775 0.001052 0.001482 0.002157 0.003226 0.005155
2025-07-27 0.000572 0.000775 0.001062 0.001511 0.002227 0.003379 0.005504